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The theory of probabilities is at bottom nothing but common sense

The theory of probabilities is at bottom nothing but common sense reduced to calculus. – Laplace, Théorie analytique des probabilités, 1820

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Statistics are no substitute for judgment. – Henry Clay

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After all, facts are facts, and although we may quote one to another with a chuckle the words of the Wise Statesman, “Lies – damned lies – and statistics,” still there are some easy figures the simplest must understand, and the astutest cannot wriggle out of. – Leonard Courtney, speech, August 1895, New York, "To My Fellow-Disciples at

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Then there is the man who drowned crossing a stream with an average depth of six inches. – W.I.E. Gates

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Statistics may be defined as “a body of methods for making wise decisions in the face of uncertainty.” – W.A. Wallis

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