Predicting has a spotty record in science fiction. Ive had some failures. On the other hand, I also predicted the fall of the Berlin Wall and the rise of fundamentalist Islam… and Im not happy to be right in all of those cases. – David Brin
The worst mistake of first contact, made throughout history by individuals on both sides of every new encounter, has been the unfortunate habit of making assumptions. It often proved fatal. – David Brin