People still dont appreciate how ephemeral success is. – Nate Silver
When you try to predict future E.R.A.s with past E.R.A.s, youre making a mistake. – Nate Silver

People still dont appreciate how ephemeral success is. – Nate Silver
When you try to predict future E.R.A.s with past E.R.A.s, youre making a mistake. – Nate Silver
Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. – Nate Silver
Were not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information – and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise. – Nate Silver
When somebody has an enormous success in this culture, people start asking two questions, which are What are you doing now? and How are you going to beat that? And I have to say, I love the assumption that your intention is to beat yourself constantly – that youre in battle against yourself. – Elizabeth Gilbert